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The State of Smart Home Technology in 2019

Written by Brooks Canavesi on May 10, 2019. Posted in Blog, IoT

With the number of smart home devices available to consumers increasing at a rapid pace, now is a good time to take a closer look at the state of smart home technology to see whether it delivers the convenience, cost savings, and comfort we’ve been promised.

1.  The Global Smart Home Market Continues to Grow

According to a recent report published by Research and Markets, the overall smart home market is expected to grow from $76.6 billion in 2018 to $151.4 billion by 2024, at a CAGR of 12.02 percent. At seven billion devices in 2018, the connected home is the largest IoT segment, followed by industrial and connected health. The factors driving the growth of the smart home market include the need for energy-saving and low carbon emission solutions, the increasing awareness of the benefits of smart home technology, or the demand for home monitoring from remote locations, just give a few examples. While North America currently accounts for the largest share of the global smart home market, the demand for smart home devices is expected to grow at the highest rate in the Asia-Pacific region during the forecast period, thanks to its booming middle class. The State of the Connected Home report by techUK, which surveyed 1,000 UK customers, states that smart TVs are the most popular smart home products, followed by smart lighting and thermostats, smart health devices, smart security systems, and smart domestic appliances. Even though 74 percent of consumers are already familiar with smart home technology, only 37 percent find it appealing, which confirms that there’s still a lot of room for the smart home market to grow. Smart appliances are the least appealing category of smart home products, likely due to their high prices and limited usefulness.

2. Robots Are Not Just for Industrial Application

We’ve become used to seeing industrial robots assemble cars, weld unwieldy chunks of metal, and solder circuit boards with the precision and dexterity of a master craftsman and the speed of Dash from The Incredibles. In 2019, we’re starting to see robots leave the cold, metal walls of warehouses and factories and venture into our homes. Not many families are ready to spend $3,000 on the Sony Aibo, a robotic pet dog with lifelike expressions and a dynamic array of movements, or $5,500 on the Groove X companion robot pet, but the demand for sociable robots that could give comfort to the elderly is much greater. “With more and more people forced to look after loved ones, the internet of things (IoT) and artificial intelligence (AI) can help alleviate the social care issues raised by an aging population,” argues Emanuele Angelidis, chief executive of IoT investor Breed Reply. “IoT also enables real-time remote monitoring so caregivers can keep a close and careful eye on their loved ones, while they complete other tasks like shopping, or simply go about their day-to-day lives.” Mobile robot solutions like Temi, a self-navigating personal robot with a large built-in touchscreen, makes it possible for caregivers and family members to give comfort and assistance in a way that’s not possible with a fixed camera. It’s only a matter of time before similar robots become so affordable that social care providers will be able to buy them in bulk and use them to enhance the quality of their service.

3. Emotional AI Is Getting Better

Gartner believes that by 2020 personal devices will know more about an individual’s emotional state than his or her own family. Emotion AI systems and affective computing are allowing everyday objects to detect, analyze, process and respond to people’s emotional states and moods to provide better context and a more personalized experience,” says Roberta Cozza, research director at Gartner. The aim of emotional AI is to automate objective measurement of opinions, feelings, and behaviors, and it relies on natural language processing (NLP), natural language understanding (NLU) and the detection of facial expressions of emotion to achieve its goal. Smart home devices equipped with emotional AI could prove indispensable in patient care, interacting with patients on an emotional level just like humans do and providing companionship and times of stress. At the same time, emotional AI has the potential to make smart home devices more approachable, easier to use, and, above all, more personal. Smart home assistants, such as the Amazon Echo devices and Google Home, have become very popular in recent years, and the ability to recognize the mood of the person the speaker is interacting with and respond accordingly would create many new possible use cases.

4. 802.11ax Is Coming

Labeled Wi-Fi 6 by Wi-Fi Alliance, 802.11ax is the next-generation Wi-Fi standard, and it’s expected to be the next big thing in the connected home. In 2019, there are already several 802.11ax-compatible routers to choose from, and many more will be released by the end of the year. What makes 802.11ax such a game changer is the fact that it solves the problem of Wi-Fi congestion, which plagues most households with multiple internet-connected devices trying to send and receive data at the same time, by introducing something called orthogonal frequency-division multiple access (OFDMA). OFDMA is a technique for transmitting large amounts of digital data over a noisy channel, and it works by splitting the signal into multiple smaller sub-signals which are then transmitted at a lower data rate simultaneously at different frequencies. 802.11ax additionally adds uplink direction for MIMO and MU-MIMO to increase throughput, and it increases how many MU-MIMO transmissions can happen at the same time to eight, from four with 802.11ac. Although mass adoption of 802.11ax probably won’t happen until 2020, what’s important is that all major Wi-Fi chip vendors have already either announced or released 802.11ax chips. Because 802.11ax is backward compatible with previous Wi-Fi specifications, its adoption can happen gradually over time and with no negative impact on consumers.

5. True Wireless Charging Is Almost Ready for Prime Time

At the end of 2018, the Federal Communications Commission certified Energous’s WattUp technology, which can convert electricity into radio frequencies and then send the resulting energy to devices up to three feet away. “Older wireless charging technologies have received limited adoption over the past 15 years and are confined to contact-based charging only. The FCC certification of Energous’ power-at-a-distance wireless charging transmitter is a major market milestone,” says Stephen R. Rizzone, Energous president and CEO. True wireless charging is exactly what consumers have been waiting for, and it’s exactly what can make smart home devices more usable. Currently, consumers who decide to fit their homes with smart sensors, such as door and window sensors, motion sensors, water leak detectors, or smart locks, are forced to deal with the fact that such sensor can rarely last more than a year or two without a new battery. That may not be such a big deal when dealing with just a few sensors, but it’s likely that the homes of the future will be fitted with hundreds of wireless sensors and actuators, monitoring and controlling everything from temperature, proximity, water and air quality, and so much more. True wireless charging technology like Energous’s WattUp has the potential to make manual battery replacements a thing of the past, and it will likely be one of the big smart home technology stories in 2019.
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Chatbots: The Story of Conversational UI

Written by Brooks Canavesi on June 5, 2017. Posted in Blog, Technology trends, Uncategorized, User Experience & Interface Design

From self-driving cars to personal assistance to home automation devices to cutting-edge medical technology, artificial intelligence (AI) is everywhere. As of June 2016, artificial intelligence received $974 million of funding, and experts predict that this figure will only rise. In fact, the AI market is set to reach $11.1 billion by 2024, according to technology research firm Tractica.

Behshad Behzadi, principal engineer of Google Now, says, “There’s an element of AI in everything we do. It’s just a way to interpret correctly either what the user is saying right now, or what they might need in the future.” Thanks to the advances in cognitive technologies, we can now accurately recognize natural human speech, automatically translate texts, and provide end users with relevant answers to their questions. These capabilities allow us to interact with computers in a conversational way.

If we take a step back and look at the history of computing, we can see how it’s intertwined with the various ways users interact with electronic devices. Just like Graphical User Interfaces (GUIs), which were popularized during the 1980s by Apple, Microsoft, and Xerox, removed the steep learning curve of Command-Line Interfaces (CLIs), so can Conversational User Interfaces (CUIs) make computers more accessible for the average person.

Deloitte analysis based on CB Insights data revealed that Conversational User Interface startups raised over $200 million in 2016. According to a report by Luxury Daily, 22 percent of consumers have used a Conversational User Interface to interact with banks. Gartner predicts that customers will manage 85 percent of their relationships with enterprises without interacting with humans by 2020.

Clearly, some of the largest industry players see Conversational User Interfaces as the future of how people interact with electronic devices, perhaps because millions of individuals around the world are already using Conversational User Interfaces on a daily basis in the form of Chatbots.

Meet Chatbots

Chatbots are arguably the biggest trend coming to social media sites and instant messaging apps. “Advancements in artificial intelligence, combined with the proliferation of various messaging apps, is fueling the development of Chatbots which can carry out different kinds of tasks such as scheduling a meeting, reporting temperature, assisting users with buying new gadgets, and so on. This has led businesses to invest heavily in the chat economy. The bot revolution is still in an early phase, but the enthusiasm is clearly growing rapidly among customers and businesses,” argues Ashish Kumar, an alumnus of International Institute of Information Technology, Bangalore.

What exactly is a Chatbot? One widely accepted definition describes a Chatbot as an interface that enables users to complete a task through conversational interaction with a machine. Simply put, Chatbots are very smart programs that you can message to get answers. An e-commerce bot can help you order the right pair of shoes for your graduation ceremony, a banking bot can help you open a bank account or check your current balance, and a hospital bot can guide patients to the correct ward.

Most of these bots live inside various messaging apps, such as Telegram, Facebook Messenger, or WhatsApp. “Messaging apps seem to become the bridge between today and tomorrow. They are the most frequently used apps today. Their increasing usefulness is the number one cause for the mass extinction of the single-purpose apps,” explains Radek Jezbera from Black Pine Executive Consulting, adding, “There are becoming platforms themselves enveloping services which in the past we needed to download, launch, and register within a separate app.”

In 2015, more than 1.5 billion people used chatting apps, which constitute 75 percent of the time people spend on their smartphones. In China, WeChat, a social media application developed by Tencent, is already considered the most powerful app in existence, incorporating functions like online shopping, sending payments, buying movie tickets, or getting a taxi. Soon, Western instant messaging applications could be just as powerful because of the high demand for instantaneous responses.

A [24]7 study, titled A Retailer’s Guide to Chatbots, Live Chat, and Messaging found that 25.8 percent of 1000 customers preferred to communicate with a Chatbot, instead of a real human being, while purchasing goods or services. This figure is surprisingly high given the current state of Chatbots, and it will certainly grow larger as Chatbots become more capable.

From the point of view of consumers, the advantages that come with living entirely inside instant messaging apps are clear: fewer installed apps, less time spent learning how to navigate various user interfaces, and better integration. Developers also greatly benefit because they can quickly reach a large number of users, instead of struggling to gain visibility in various app stores.

Chatbot Landscape

Most Chatbots in existence live in a few ecosystems that grow around popular instant messaging apps. Facebook launched Chatbots for Messenger at Facebook F8 in 2016, an annual conference held by Facebook. The company wants to partner with businesses to build deeper interactions with their customers on Facebook Messenger in a way that is contextual, convenient, and delightful, with control at its core, states the official press release. “[Bots for Messenger] can provide anything from automated subscription content like weather and traffic updates to customized communications like receipts, shipping notifications, and live automated messages, all by interacting directly with the people who want to get them.” Facebook is also testing its own personal assistant, called M. The assistant should compete with Apple, Google, and Microsoft, who all have their own smartphone-based conversational personal assistants.

Telegram, an instant messaging application with over 100 million users, has recently made it easy for users to interact with Chatbots by adding support for custom buttons that exposed Chatbot features in a contextually-aware way. Telegram bots help users get up-to-date weather information, browse Wiki directly in the messenger window, plan tasks and set reminders, find relevant stickers or GIF animations, and much more.

With their Bot Framework, Microsoft is helping developers build capable Chatbots by providing various cognitive micro services that help bots understand natural language and intelligently respond to questions. Chatbots created using Bot Framework can be seamlessly integrated with a range of platforms, including Slack, Telegram, Skype, Facebook Messenger, SMS, email, and others. They can even run in a serverless, scalable environment thanks to Azure Bot Service.

According to a report in the Wall Street Journal, Google is working on a messaging service that will deliver services through Chatbots, similar to those already found in popular instant messaging applications like Kik and WeChat.

All widely used instant messaging services see Chatbots as the right opportunity how to become just as important for consumers and businesses as the largest social networks in existence. It’s not just those companies and businesses that strive to stay at the forefront of the technological innovation, but also emerging startups without the resources required to gain visibility on the web who can greatly benefit from embracing emerging Chatbot platforms. The current small degree of competition in the Chatbot landscape is akin to the early days of the web, when anyone could get at the very top of Google’s search results page.

Social Implications of Chatbots

In his article titled Chatbots And the Future of Conversation-Based Interfaces, Daniel Newman predicts that Chatbots could permanently change the way humans interact with the digital world. In the day and age of social media, community outreach and real-time interaction with customers can make or break a company. Instead of hiring a small army of social media experts, 62 percent of organizations will be using AI technologies by 2018, according to Narrative Science.

This may lead to a complete disruption of the customer service industry. “There’s no doubt that Chatbots and their real-world counterparts, robots, will kill the customer service industry. They’re cheaper, can work any and all times of the day and can be trained up instantly. You can also replicate them cheaply, without added costs,” says Madhumita Murgia.

Right now, anyone in the UK can order a pizza from Domino’s through the company’s Facebook Chatbot, instead of placing an order on the phone. The Chatbot provides customers with up-to-date tracking information as well as the option to ask for the customer care representative should any problems occur. It’s easy to see how similar Chatbots could make certain human agents completely redundant, but it’s unlikely that all customer service occupations will be affected to the same degree.

Experts predict that there’s a 75 percent likelihood that the profession of a call center worker will be automated in the near future. As frightening as this number can be, we must bear in mind that call center workers are constantly rated as the most unhappy and isolated group of office workers. A 2013 survey found that call center workers experience the poorest interpersonal relationships compared to other professions, and that they are twice as likely as other groups to report breakdowns in home relationships because of workplace problems.

If there’s one thing we can learn from history, it has to be that humans always find new ways how to apply their talents every time a technology renders certain roles obsolete. There might be some period of adjustment, but just as typesetters were replaced by graphic designers, so will call center workers and customer service employees find other, more meaningful work.

“In the short to medium term, the main effect of automation will not necessarily be eliminating jobs, but redefining them. As the skills and tasks required in the economy change, our response should not be alarmism or protectionism, but a strategic investment in education,” writes Tony Andrews, a multi-media journalist.

That being said, there’s one implication of Chatbots that needs to be addressed: security. The machine-learning algorithms that make Chatbots tick rely on vast amounts of information collected from users. All data collected by Chatbots must be secured to the highest degree and deployed only on encrypted channels. Because Chatbots are designed to behave like humans and operate on popular instant messaging services, users must be protected against phishing schemes and social engineering hacks.

The biggest problem that businesses need to overcome is the fact that their Chatbots run on third-party platforms that they have little to no control over. As soon as a business decides to deploy a Chatbot on Telegram or Facebook Messenger, they are immediately at the mercy of the security measures employed by the chosen platform.

However, some may argue that the centralized approach is better than leaving security to individual businesses and organizations who may or may not have the experience necessary to protect themselves and their customers against the latest cyber threats. Even if a security vulnerability would be discovered, the owners of the Chatbot platform could immediately patch the security hole across the network, protecting all existing Chatbots at the same time.

Regardless of how these concerns will be addressed at the end of the day, it seems that Chatbots are attractive enough as they are that most current users are willing to overlook any potential issues, enjoying Conversational User Interfaces and everything they have to offer.

Conclusion

Right now, AI-powered Chatbots seem to be the next big transformative technology that will fundamentally change the way we accomplish daily tasks, such as shopping, contacting customer service support, or asking for the current weather information. Just like every innovative technology, Chatbots can end up causing major security and privacy nightmares, both for the organizations who deploy them and for end users. Considering how willing most internet users are to let social networks track every click they make, it’s highly unlikely that the same users would perceive Chatbots as a potential privacy threat.

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